ADO Den Haag 0-2 Groningen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 29 Mar 2024

ADO Den Haag
0-2 HT 0-1
Groningen
📅29/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2023/2024

ADO Den Haag vs Groningen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
2.0
Over
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.77
2-3
39%
1.82
4-5
26%
3.23
6+
9%
11.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.53
1/2
7%
24.85
1/X
6%
12.9
X/1
11%
6.66
X/2
18%
4.97
X/X
13%
4.86
2/1
8%
31.5
2/2
16%
2.99
2/X
9%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 53% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+1.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-2.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.7pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

ADO Den Haag v Groningen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ADO Den Haag EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Groningen EU Bookmakers 48%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
0.92/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.44/0.73
+9% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +115% / -10%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
325 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 81%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
19.9 Crosses 16.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5

ADO Den Haag vs Groningen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ADO Den Haag
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Groningen
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.75 xG 1.38
48% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
269 Passes 306
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
12 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.09.2023 Groningen Groningen 0-1 HT 0-1 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
26.01.2021 Groningen Groningen 3-0 HT 2-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL
20.09.2020 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 0-1 HT 0-1 Groningen Groningen HOL
14.12.2019 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 1-1 HT 1-1 Groningen Groningen HOL
17.03.2019 Groningen Groningen 1-0 HT 1-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL
06.10.2018 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 1-0 HT 1-0 Groningen Groningen HOL

ADO Den Haag 0-2 Groningen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ADO Den Haag
0-2
AWAY Groningen
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
POST-MATCH ADO Den Haag vs Groningen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Groningen got the better of ADO Den Haag 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Groningen as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, ADO Den Haag had 52% of the ball to Groningen's 48%, shots finished 6-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Groningen led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for ADO Den Haag and 1.00 for Groningen.

What was the final score of ADO Den Haag vs Groningen?

ADO Den Haag 0-2 Groningen in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ADO Den Haag vs Groningen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Groningen win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split ADO Den Haag 32%, draw 28%, Groningen 41%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Groningen) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Groningen) ✗ BTTS Yes
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