York City 3-0 Wealdstone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
2.0
Over
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No Pick
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
30%
3.53
2-3
37%
1.79
4-5
21%
3.17
6+
12%
10.95
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.53 — our 30% vs market 22.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.82
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
8%
17.05
X/1
14%
3.92
X/2
8%
12.9
X/X
13%
6.03
2/1
8%
22.9
2/2
8%
10.9
2/X
5%
19.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
63%
-10.0pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.1pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+5.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.5pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME York City EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Wealdstone EU Bookmakers 19%
-15% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +11%
2.13/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.84
+13% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
58 · 96% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 41 · 95%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME York City
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Wealdstone
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.09.2024 Wealdstone Wealdstone 0-2 HT 0-1 York City York City İBSL
02.03.2024 York City York City 2-3 HT 1-1 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL
05.08.2023 Wealdstone Wealdstone 2-1 HT 0-1 York City York City İBSL
18.02.2023 Wealdstone Wealdstone 3-1 HT 1-0 York City York City İBSL
19.11.2022 York City York City 1-2 HT 1-0 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME York City
3-0
AWAY Wealdstone
70% Ball Possession 30%
19 Total Shots 1
7 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 2
1 Passes 0
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH York City vs Wealdstone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

York City cruised past Wealdstone 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had York City as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, York City had 70% of the ball to Wealdstone's 30%, shots finished 19-1.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Wealdstone led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for York City and 2.00 for Wealdstone.

What was the final score of York City vs Wealdstone?

York City 3-0 Wealdstone in the England - National League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for York City vs Wealdstone?

Before kick-off our model rated a York City win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split York City 53%, draw 25%, Wealdstone 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (York City), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (York City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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