Blackpool 2-1 Bolton Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.5
2-3 Goals
36%
1.79
4-5 Goals
25%
3.19
6+ Goals
13%
11.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.34
1/2
5%
29.0
1/X
10%
12.9
X/1
13%
5.42
X/2
14%
6.34
X/X
8%
4.96
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
25.5
2/2
16%
4.24
2/X
7%
13.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 7% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-0.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.8pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+2.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.5pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blackpool EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Bolton Wanderers EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -16%
1.57/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.19
+14% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -20%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
236 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 73%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
18.8 Crosses 14.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Blackpool
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Bolton Wanderers
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.28 xG 1.29
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
235 Passes 344
68% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.11.2024 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 2-1 HT 0-1 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
24.02.2024 Blackpool Blackpool 4-1 HT 2-1 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
30.01.2024 Blackpool Blackpool 0-0 HT 0-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İNTK
11.11.2023 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 1-0 HT 0-0 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
25.02.2020 Blackpool Blackpool 2-1 HT 1-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
07.10.2019 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 0-0 HT 0-0 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Blackpool
2-1
AWAY Bolton Wanderers
0.95 xG 1.13
28% Ball Possession 72%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
162 Passes 523
64% Pass Accuracy 84%
8 Box Touches 32
7 Crosses 36
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Blackpool vs Bolton Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blackpool squeezed past Bolton Wanderers 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Blackpool found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Blackpool had 28% of the ball to Bolton Wanderers's 72%, shots finished 7-16, expected goals 0.95 to 1.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Blackpool and 0.83 for Bolton Wanderers.

What was the final score of Blackpool vs Bolton Wanderers?

Blackpool 2-1 Bolton Wanderers in the England - 1st Division on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blackpool vs Bolton Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Blackpool win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Blackpool 40%, draw 25%, Bolton Wanderers 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Blackpool), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Blackpool) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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