Cardiff City 1-1 Sheffield Wednesday — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 29 Mar 2025

Cardiff City
1-1 HT 1-0
Sheffield Wednesday
📅29/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Cardiff City vs Sheffield Wednesday Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.82
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.98
6+ Goals
9%
18.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.14
1/2
6%
30.0
1/X
8%
13.7
X/1
14%
5.81
X/2
17%
5.45
X/X
16%
4.34
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
13%
3.74
2/X
5%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 53% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
+0.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.3pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-0.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.8pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cardiff City v Sheffield Wednesday — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cardiff City EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Sheffield Wednesday EU Bookmakers 40%
-6% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +8%
0.98/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.38
-24% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -4%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
281 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 80%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
19.4 Crosses 18.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6

Cardiff City vs Sheffield Wednesday Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cardiff City
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sheffield Wednesday
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.29 xG 1.51
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
286 Passes 298
73% Pass Accuracy 73%
17 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.11.2024 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 1-1 HT 1-1 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL
06.01.2024 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 4-0 HT 3-0 Cardiff City Cardiff City FAK
23.12.2023 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 1-2 HT 1-0 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL
26.08.2023 Cardiff City Cardiff City 2-1 HT 0-0 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
05.04.2021 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 5-0 HT 3-0 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL
12.09.2020 Cardiff City Cardiff City 0-2 HT 0-2 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL

Cardiff City 1-1 Sheffield Wednesday — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cardiff City
1-1
AWAY Sheffield Wednesday
1.72 xG 0.45
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
217 Passes 315
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 12
28 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cardiff City vs Sheffield Wednesday
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cardiff City and Sheffield Wednesday shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Cardiff City had 45% of the ball to Sheffield Wednesday's 55%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.72 to 0.45.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sheffield Wednesday led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Cardiff City and 2.33 for Sheffield Wednesday.

What was the final score of Cardiff City vs Sheffield Wednesday?

Cardiff City 1-1 Sheffield Wednesday in the England - Championship on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cardiff City vs Sheffield Wednesday?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sheffield Wednesday win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Cardiff City 35%, draw 28%, Sheffield Wednesday 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sheffield Wednesday) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sheffield Wednesday) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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