Rayo Majadahonda 0-2 Cacereno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.6pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.8pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.9pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rayo Majadahonda EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Cacereno EU Bookmakers 36%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
0.46/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.34
-59% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rayo Majadahonda
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Cacereno
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 6
0 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
17.11.2024 Cacereno Cacereno 1-0 HT 1-0 Rayo Majadahonda Rayo Majadahonda İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rayo Majadahonda
0-2
AWAY Cacereno
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rayo Majadahonda vs Cacereno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cacereno beat Rayo Majadahonda 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 35% — and on the day Cacereno made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Rayo Majadahonda had 63% of the ball to Cacereno's 37%, shots finished 13-8.

What was the final score of Rayo Majadahonda vs Cacereno?

Rayo Majadahonda 0-2 Cacereno in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rayo Majadahonda vs Cacereno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rayo Majadahonda win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Rayo Majadahonda 35%, draw 30%, Cacereno 35%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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