Young Boys 1-0 St. Gallen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.59
Over 2.5
60%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.49
No
43%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.87
2-3 Goals
38%
2.1
4-5 Goals
27%
2.68
6+ Goals
15%
6.14
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.11
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.6
X/1
17%
4.66
X/2
10%
9.99
X/X
9%
6.67
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
19.2
2/2
9%
6.76
2/X
6%
14.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.2 — our 9% vs market 3.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
56%
-2.9pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.6pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+2.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
35%
+5.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
65%
-5.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
63%
-5.9pp
43%
BTTS No
37%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Young Boys EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Gallen EU Bookmakers 25%
+10% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -6%
2.05/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.88
+55% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
301 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 78%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
24.8 Crosses 13.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Young Boys
3W-1D-2L
AWAY St. Gallen
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.49 xG 1.80
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
323 Passes 225
78% Pass Accuracy 70%
26 Box Touches 24
25 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.12.2024 Young Boys Young Boys 3-1 HT 2-0 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
28.07.2024 St. Gallen St. Gallen 4-0 HT 2-0 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
16.05.2024 Young Boys Young Boys 3-1 HT 0-1 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
07.04.2024 St. Gallen St. Gallen 2-2 HT 1-0 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
09.12.2023 Young Boys Young Boys 3-0 HT 2-0 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
27.09.2023 St. Gallen St. Gallen 2-1 HT 0-0 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Young Boys
1-0
AWAY St. Gallen
0.93 xG 0.84
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 2
339 Passes 199
80% Pass Accuracy 68%
22 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Young Boys vs St. Gallen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Young Boys edged past St. Gallen 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Young Boys as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Young Boys had 60% of the ball to St. Gallen's 40%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.93 to 0.84.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Young Boys had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Young Boys and 1.67 for St. Gallen.

What was the final score of Young Boys vs St. Gallen?

Young Boys 1-0 St. Gallen in the Switzerland - Super League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Young Boys vs St. Gallen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Young Boys win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Young Boys 53%, draw 23%, St. Gallen 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Young Boys) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Young Boys) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSV More Switzerland - Super League
29 Mar 2025
20:00 Sion vs Yverdon Analysis →
22:30 Lugano vs Servette Analysis →