Casa Pia vs Rio Ave Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Casa Pia v Rio Ave — Team-Based Signals
Casa Pia vs Rio Ave Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Rio Ave
POR
1-1
HT 0-1
Casa Pia
POR
1-0
HT 0-0
Rio Ave
POR
Casa Pia 2-1 Rio Ave — Actual Match Statistics
Casa Pia edged past Rio Ave 2-1 in the Portugal - Premier League on 29 Mar 2025. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 42% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Casa Pia had 50% of the ball to Rio Ave's 50%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 1.16 to 2.27.
Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rio Ave lead the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Casa Pia and 1.33 for Rio Ave.
What was the final score of Casa Pia vs Rio Ave?
Casa Pia 2-1 Rio Ave in the Portugal - Premier League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Casa Pia vs Rio Ave?
Before kick-off our model rated a Casa Pia win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Casa Pia 43%, draw 29%, Rio Ave 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Casa Pia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.