Nagoya Grampus 1-1 Fagiano Okayama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 29 Apr 2026

Nagoya Grampus
1 - 1 HT 0 - 0 AET 1-1 · Pen 4-5
Fagiano Okayama
📅29/04/2026 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
54%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
21%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.86
Over
50%
1.87
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.11
2-3
47%
1.72
4-5
22%
3.37
6+
5%
13.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
3%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Nagoya Grampus The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Fagiano Okayama The Market 24%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.58 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.00
1.06 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.80
Weak Attack Strength Average
Weak Defense Strength Weak
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
435 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 72%
25 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18
20 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nagoya Grampus
2W-3D-0L
AWAY Fagiano Okayama
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.20
1.02 xG 0.93
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
294 Passes 298
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 32
1 Yellow Cards 1
01.03.2026 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 1-1 HT 0-0 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
13.09.2025 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 0-1 HT 0-0 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
06.05.2025 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 0-0 HT 0-0 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP
02.08.2021 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 1-0 HT 1-0 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JPK
14.07.2021 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 0-0 HT 0-0 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nagoya Grampus
1 - 1
AWAY Fagiano Okayama
0.62 xG 1.80
65% Ball Possession 35%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
490 Passes 228
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Nagoya Grampus and Fagiano Okayama shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our model won't enjoy this one — Nagoya Grampus at 55% was the clear read, and the result ignored it. Over a season these leads pay; on a single Tuesday, anything can happen.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 50% and both teams to score at 52%.

By the numbers, possession split 65% to 35% in Nagoya Grampus's favour, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 0.62 to 1.80.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Nagoya Grampus had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.60 a game for Nagoya Grampus against 0.20 for Fagiano Okayama.

Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama Result & Final Score

Nagoya Grampus 1 - 1 Fagiano Okayama in the Japan - J1 League on 29/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Nagoya Grampus win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Nagoya Grampus 55%, draw 25%, Fagiano Okayama 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nagoya Grampus) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nagoya Grampus) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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