Al Nassr 2-0 Al Ahli Jeddah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 29 Apr 2026

📅29/04/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.76
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.13
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
2.79
6+ Goals
12%
8.09
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
52%
-0.3pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.1pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+0.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.4pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nassr EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli Jeddah EU Bookmakers 28%
-5% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
2.02/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.35
+8% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
340 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 78%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
21.0 Crosses 12.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nassr
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Al Ahli Jeddah
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.55 xG 2.07
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
365 Passes 219
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 27
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.01.2026 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 3-2 HT 2-2 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
23.08.2025 Al Nassr Al Nassr 2-2 HT 1-1 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUSK
13.02.2025 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 2-3 HT 0-1 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
13.09.2024 Al Nassr Al Nassr 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
15.03.2024 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
22.09.2023 Al Nassr Al Nassr 4-3 HT 3-1 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Nassr
2-0
AWAY Al Ahli Jeddah
0.48 xG 0.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
215 Passes 214
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
13 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Al Nassr vs Al Ahli Jeddah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nassr saw off Al Ahli Jeddah 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Nassr as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Nassr had 51% of the ball to Al Ahli Jeddah's 49%, shots finished 7-4, expected goals 0.48 to 0.17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Nassr had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Al Nassr and 1.83 for Al Ahli Jeddah.

What was the final score of Al Nassr vs Al Ahli Jeddah?

Al Nassr 2-0 Al Ahli Jeddah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 29/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nassr vs Al Ahli Jeddah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Al Nassr 52%, draw 23%, Al Ahli Jeddah 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nassr) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Nassr) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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