Saburtalo vs Gagra Prediction — Model Probabilities
Saburtalo v Gagra — Team-Based Signals
Saburtalo vs Gagra Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Saburtalo 3-1 Gagra — Actual Match Statistics
Saburtalo took care of Gagra 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Saburtalo as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 48% and both teams to score at 46%. The market went further still — the BTTS-no price closed at 1.64, about 61%.
The match data tells the story: possession split 53% to 47% in Saburtalo's favour, shots finished 20-9.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saburtalo had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Saburtalo against 1.50 for Gagra.
Saburtalo vs Gagra Result & Final Score
Saburtalo 3 - 1 Gagra in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 29/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Saburtalo vs Gagra Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Saburtalo win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Saburtalo 62%, draw 22%, Gagra 15%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saburtalo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.