Albirex Niigata 0-4 Machida Zelvia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 29 Jun 2025

📅29/06/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.46
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
47%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.56
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
4.41
6+ Goals
8%
22.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
6.25
1/2
5%
28.5
1/X
8%
15.3
X/1
10%
7.55
X/2
16%
4.46
X/X
9%
4.19
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
26%
2.79
2/X
7%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
26%
+2.6pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.3pp
47%
Away Win
46%
+0.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.0pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Albirex Niigata EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Machida Zelvia EU Bookmakers 50%
-6% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +15%
1.29/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/0.69
-3% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +32%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
294 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 76%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
16.3 Crosses 19.3
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Albirex Niigata
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Machida Zelvia
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.63 xG 1.57
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
408 Passes 272
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
12 Box Touches 29
11 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
15.03.2025 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 1-0 HT 1-0 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP
08.09.2024 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 2-0 HT 2-0 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JLK
04.09.2024 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 5-0 HT 2-0 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JLK
25.08.2024 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 0-0 HT 0-0 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP
01.06.2024 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 1-3 HT 1-2 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP
02.08.2023 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 0-1 HT 0-0 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Albirex Niigata
0-4
AWAY Machida Zelvia
0.85 xG 3.01
63% Ball Possession 37%
21 Total Shots 24
1 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 9
459 Passes 245
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
35 Box Touches 29
10 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Albirex Niigata vs Machida Zelvia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Machida Zelvia swept aside Albirex Niigata 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Machida Zelvia as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Albirex Niigata had 63% of the ball to Machida Zelvia's 37%, shots finished 21-24, expected goals 0.85 to 3.01.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Albirex Niigata had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Albirex Niigata and 0.67 for Machida Zelvia.

What was the final score of Albirex Niigata vs Machida Zelvia?

Albirex Niigata 0-4 Machida Zelvia in the Japan - J1 League on 29/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Albirex Niigata vs Machida Zelvia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Machida Zelvia win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Albirex Niigata 28%, draw 25%, Machida Zelvia 47%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Machida Zelvia), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Machida Zelvia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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