Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Spain - Primera Liga, 29 Aug 2026

📅29/08/2026 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.17
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
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Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sevilla
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Atletico Madrid
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.94 xG 1.95
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
350 Passes 491
81% Pass Accuracy 87%
18 Box Touches 29
12 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 3
11.04.2026 Sevilla Sevilla 2-1 HT 2-1 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
01.11.2025 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 3-0 HT 0-0 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
06.04.2025 Sevilla Sevilla 1-2 HT 1-1 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
08.12.2024 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 4-3 HT 1-2 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
11.02.2024 Sevilla Sevilla 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
25.01.2024 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 1-0 HT 0-0 Sevilla Sevilla İSPK
PREVIEW Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

There's a lean to Atletico Madrid in the data, with more than enough uncertainty to keep this interesting.

Sevilla arrive on a real home run — 4 wins from the last 5 in the league; meanwhile, Atletico Madrid's recent away league games have rarely been one-way — both sides scored in 4 of the last 5.

Looking at the history: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid lead the recent series with 4 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Sevilla against 1.83 for Atletico Madrid.

Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid Kick-off Time

Sevilla play Atletico Madrid in the Spain - Primera Liga on 29/08/2026, kick-off 22:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid is an Atletico Madrid win at about 44% probability, priced 2.11 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Sevilla 26%, draw 30%, Atletico Madrid 44%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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