SSC Giugliano 2-3 Team Altamura — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.85
No
59%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.92
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.99
6+ Goals
9%
18.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 34% vs market 28.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-3.6pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.9pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+7.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
50%
-8.7pp
59%
BTTS No
50%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SSC Giugliano EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Team Altamura EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.37/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.50
+6% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / -18%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 6.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SSC Giugliano
2-3
AWAY Team Altamura
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SSC Giugliano vs Team Altamura
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Team Altamura edged past SSC Giugliano 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was SSC Giugliano at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, SSC Giugliano had 45% of the ball to Team Altamura's 55%, shots finished 7-15.

What was the final score of SSC Giugliano vs Team Altamura?

SSC Giugliano 2-3 Team Altamura in the Italy - Serie C on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SSC Giugliano vs Team Altamura?

Before kick-off our model rated a SSC Giugliano win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split SSC Giugliano 44%, draw 23%, Team Altamura 33%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (SSC Giugliano) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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