Midtjylland 2-1 Randers FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 29 Sep 2025

📅29/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.66
Draw
17%
3.8
Away
19%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.78
2-3 Goals
35%
1.95
4-5 Goals
28%
2.86
6+ Goals
11%
7.82
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
2.15
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
4%
13.4
X/1
21%
4.49
X/2
7%
9.5
X/X
8%
5.99
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
20.15
2/2
8%
6.79
2/X
4%
14.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.15 — our 8% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
56%
+7.8pp
17%
Draw
23%
-5.8pp
19%
Away Win
21%
-1.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.8pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Midtjylland EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Randers FC EU Bookmakers 25%
+5% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
2.10/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.72
+30% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -12%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
456 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 78%
30.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
18.9 Crosses 14.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Midtjylland
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Randers FC
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.50 xG 1.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
321 Passes 297
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.07.2025 Midtjylland Midtjylland 2-3 HT 1-1 Randers FC Randers FC HAZ
25.05.2025 Midtjylland Midtjylland 3-2 HT 1-1 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
04.04.2025 Randers FC Randers FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
16.03.2025 Midtjylland Midtjylland 4-2 HT 3-0 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
22.09.2024 Randers FC Randers FC 2-2 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
11.03.2024 Randers FC Randers FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Midtjylland
2-1
AWAY Randers FC
1.21 xG 0.96
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 3
422 Passes 293
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
40 Box Touches 18
33 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Midtjylland vs Randers FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Midtjylland squeezed past Randers FC 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Midtjylland as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Midtjylland had 58% of the ball to Randers FC's 42%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.21 to 0.96.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Midtjylland had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Midtjylland and 1.83 for Randers FC.

What was the final score of Midtjylland vs Randers FC?

Midtjylland 2-1 Randers FC in the Denmark - Süperlig on 29/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Midtjylland vs Randers FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Midtjylland win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Midtjylland 64%, draw 17%, Randers FC 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Midtjylland), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Midtjylland) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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