Roda 1-1 Cambuur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 29 Sep 2025

Roda
1-1 HT 1-1
Cambuur
📅29/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.67
Draw
19%
3.54
Away
54%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.15
Over 2.5
60%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.56
No
40%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
33%
-5.9pp
19%
Draw
24%
-5.5pp
54%
Away Win
43%
+11.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
43%
-3.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
57%
+3.3pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.2pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roda EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Cambuur EU Bookmakers 48%
-9% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -13%
1.26/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.31
-22% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
304 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
17.9 Crosses 18.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roda
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Cambuur
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.58 xG 1.37
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
326 Passes 316
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.01.2025 Roda Roda 0-1 HT 0-0 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
16.09.2024 Cambuur Cambuur 0-0 HT 0-0 Roda Roda HOL2
03.05.2024 Roda Roda 2-0 HT 0-0 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
19.11.2023 Cambuur Cambuur 1-1 HT 1-1 Roda Roda HOL2
28.03.2021 Roda Roda 3-1 HT 1-0 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
23.10.2020 Cambuur Cambuur 3-0 HT 2-0 Roda Roda HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roda
1-1
AWAY Cambuur
1.62 xG 1.22
39% Ball Possession 61%
16 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 9
287 Passes 468
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
28 Box Touches 36
13 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Roda vs Cambuur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roda and Cambuur couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Cambuur at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (60%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Roda had 39% of the ball to Cambuur's 61%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 1.62 to 1.22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Roda and 1.00 for Cambuur.

What was the final score of Roda vs Cambuur?

Roda 1-1 Cambuur in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 29/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roda vs Cambuur?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cambuur win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Roda 27%, draw 19%, Cambuur 54%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cambuur), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cambuur) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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