ADO Den Haag 5-1 FC Oss — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 29 Sep 2025

📅29/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
77%
1.25
Draw
13%
5.71
Away
10%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.74
Over 2.5
63%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.86
2-3 Goals
42%
2.04
4-5 Goals
25%
2.43
6+ Goals
13%
5.11
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.35
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
5%
24.3
X/1
26%
3.85
X/2
4%
24.3
X/X
4%
9.98
2/1 EV+ ✗
15%
20.9
2/2
4%
20.1
2/X
3%
28.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.9 — our 15% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
ADO Den Haag win — 77%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
77%
Home Win
76%
+1.2pp
12%
Draw
15%
-2.6pp
10%
Away Win
9%
+1.3pp
37%
Under 2.5
33%
+4.2pp
63%
Over 2.5
67%
-4.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.6pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ADO Den Haag EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Oss EU Bookmakers 11%
-10% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +4%
1.73/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.77
-17% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +21%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
408 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 72%
29.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
25.0 Crosses 14.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ADO Den Haag
5W-1D-0L
AWAY FC Oss
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.01 xG 0.68
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
387 Passes 238
81% Pass Accuracy 71%
27 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.12.2024 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
04.10.2024 FC Oss FC Oss 1-5 HT 0-3 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
02.02.2024 FC Oss FC Oss 1-3 HT 1-3 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
06.10.2023 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-1 HT 1-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
10.03.2023 FC Oss FC Oss 2-3 HT 1-1 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
16.12.2022 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ADO Den Haag
5-1
AWAY FC Oss
3.19 xG 0.42
68% Ball Possession 32%
32 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 1
432 Passes 158
82% Pass Accuracy 63%
52 Box Touches 6
33 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH ADO Den Haag vs FC Oss
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ADO Den Haag ran out comfortable winners over FC Oss 5-1. Half-time: 4-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had ADO Den Haag as the likeliest winner at 77%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, ADO Den Haag had 68% of the ball to FC Oss's 32%, shots finished 32-5, expected goals 3.19 to 0.42.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, ADO Den Haag had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for ADO Den Haag and 0.83 for FC Oss.

What was the final score of ADO Den Haag vs FC Oss?

ADO Den Haag 5-1 FC Oss in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 29/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ADO Den Haag vs FC Oss?

Before kick-off our model rated a ADO Den Haag win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split ADO Den Haag 77%, draw 12%, FC Oss 10%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ADO Den Haag), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ADO Den Haag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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