Suduva 1-3 Zalgiris Vilnius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 29 Sep 2025

📅29/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
46%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.9
Over 2.5
53%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.7
No
42%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
32%
-3.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
46%
Away Win
41%
+4.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
49%
-2.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
51%
+2.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
55%
+3.0pp
42%
BTTS No
45%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suduva EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius EU Bookmakers 45%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.78/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.70/1.96
-37% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +73% / -43%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
349 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suduva
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
07.08.2025 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 1-0 HT 1-0 Suduva Suduva LITA
19.06.2025 Suduva Suduva 2-2 HT 1-1 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
16.04.2025 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 3-0 HT 1-0 Suduva Suduva LITA
25.08.2024 Suduva Suduva 1-1 HT 1-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
23.06.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 4-0 HT 1-0 Suduva Suduva LIT1
28.04.2024 Suduva Suduva 1-1 HT 0-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Suduva
1-3
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Suduva vs Zalgiris Vilnius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalgiris Vilnius saw off Suduva 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zalgiris Vilnius as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Suduva had 50% of the ball to Zalgiris Vilnius's 50%, shots finished 13-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zalgiris Vilnius led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Suduva and 2.00 for Zalgiris Vilnius.

What was the final score of Suduva vs Zalgiris Vilnius?

Suduva 1-3 Zalgiris Vilnius in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 29/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suduva vs Zalgiris Vilnius?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zalgiris Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Suduva 28%, draw 26%, Zalgiris Vilnius 46%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →