Accrington Stanley 2-1 Everton U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Futbol League Cup, 29 Oct 2024

📅29/10/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.43
Over
51%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1
24%
5.15
2-3
43%
1.96
4-5
22%
2.73
6+
11%
6.98
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.6pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.1pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.7pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Accrington Stanley EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Everton U21 EU Bookmakers 39%
-18% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.89/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.63
+29% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
291 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 72%
32.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
28.9 Crosses 10.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 0.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Accrington Stanley
2-1
AWAY Everton U21
0.67 xG 1.40
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 9
239 Passes 283
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
28 Box Touches 31
22 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Accrington Stanley vs Everton U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Accrington Stanley edged past Everton U21 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Accrington Stanley found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Accrington Stanley had 47% of the ball to Everton U21's 53%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 0.67 to 1.40 — on chances, Everton U21 could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Accrington Stanley vs Everton U21?

Accrington Stanley 2-1 Everton U21 in the England - Futbol League Cup on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Accrington Stanley vs Everton U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Accrington Stanley win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Accrington Stanley 39%, draw 27%, Everton U21 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Accrington Stanley), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Accrington Stanley) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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