Cheltenham Town 3-1 West Ham United U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Futbol League Cup, 29 Oct 2024

Cheltenham Town
3-1 HT 1-0
West Ham United U21
📅29/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - Futbol League Cup – 2024/2025

Cheltenham Town vs West Ham United U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
2.38
Over Pick
52%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.49
No
48%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1
23%
4.95
2-3
45%
1.95
4-5
21%
2.78
6+
11%
7.37
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 52% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-3.9pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.4pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+5.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
63%
-11.5pp
48%
BTTS No
37%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cheltenham Town v West Ham United U21 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cheltenham Town EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY West Ham United U21 EU Bookmakers 36%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.89/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.36
+37% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +21%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
307 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 79%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
14.7 Crosses 16.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.9

Cheltenham Town vs West Ham United U21 Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cheltenham Town
1W-0D-2L
AWAY West Ham United U21
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.60 xG 2.05
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
341 Passes 422
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 32
17 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.11.2023 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 0-4 HT 0-3 West Ham United U21 West Ham United U21 İNTK
18.10.2022 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 1-2 HT 1-1 West Ham United U21 West Ham United U21 İNTK
08.10.2019 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 4-3 HT 1-3 West Ham United U21 West Ham United U21 İNTK

Cheltenham Town 3-1 West Ham United U21 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cheltenham Town
3-1
AWAY West Ham United U21
2.27 xG 1.34
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
255 Passes 376
71% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cheltenham Town vs West Ham United U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cheltenham Town beat West Ham United U21 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 22% / 37% — and on the day Cheltenham Town made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Cheltenham Town had 43% of the ball to West Ham United U21's 57%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 2.27 to 1.34.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, West Ham United U21 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Cheltenham Town and 3.00 for West Ham United U21.

What was the final score of Cheltenham Town vs West Ham United U21?

Cheltenham Town 3-1 West Ham United U21 in the England - Futbol League Cup on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cheltenham Town vs West Ham United U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cheltenham Town win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Cheltenham Town 41%, draw 22%, West Ham United U21 37%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cheltenham Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cheltenham Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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