Grimsby Town 1-1 Manchester City U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Futbol League Cup, 29 Oct 2024

📅29/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.12
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
2.23
Over
46%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1
28%
4.57
2-3
40%
1.9
4-5
22%
2.88
6+
10%
8.24
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.57 — our 28% vs market 17.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
43%
-6.8pp
31%
Draw
25%
+6.1pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
41%
+13.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
59%
-13.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.7pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grimsby Town EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester City U21 EU Bookmakers 36%
-37% / -37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.22/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/2.18
-31% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
283 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.9
Crosses 6.4
Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grimsby Town
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Manchester City U21
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.79 xG 1.29
44% Ball Possession 56%
18 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
290 Passes 416
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
38 Box Touches 14
34 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.08.2023 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 2-2 HT 0-2 Manchester City U21 Manchester City U21 İNTK
08.11.2022 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Manchester City U21 Manchester City U21 İNTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grimsby Town
1-1
AWAY Manchester City U21
0.61 xG 0.57
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
376 Passes 439
86% Pass Accuracy 89%
21 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Grimsby Town vs Manchester City U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grimsby Town and Manchester City U21 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 31% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Grimsby Town had 47% of the ball to Manchester City U21's 53%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 0.61 to 0.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Grimsby Town and 1.50 for Manchester City U21.

What was the final score of Grimsby Town vs Manchester City U21?

Grimsby Town 1-1 Manchester City U21 in the England - Futbol League Cup on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grimsby Town vs Manchester City U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grimsby Town win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Grimsby Town 36%, draw 31%, Manchester City U21 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Grimsby Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Grimsby Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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