Barnsley 1-3 Doncaster Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Futbol League Cup, 29 Oct 2024

Barnsley
1-3 HT 0-1
Doncaster Rovers
📅29/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - Futbol League Cup – 2024/2025

Barnsley vs Doncaster Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.17
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
42%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.23
Over Pick
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1
23%
4.53
2-3
39%
1.9
4-5
26%
2.9
6+
12%
8.36
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
25%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 53% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
28%
+4.2pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.0pp
42%
Away Win
49%
-7.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.3pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Barnsley v Doncaster Rovers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barnsley EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Doncaster Rovers EU Bookmakers 54%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -39% / -39%
0.29/2.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/2.79
-80% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -51%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
273 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 75%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
7.0 Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

Barnsley vs Doncaster Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barnsley
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Doncaster Rovers
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.28 xG 0.55
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
227 Passes 357
64% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 24
8 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.10.2022 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 2-4 HT 0-4 Barnsley Barnsley İNTK
15.03.2019 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 0-0 HT 0-0 Barnsley Barnsley İN1
24.11.2018 Barnsley Barnsley 1-1 HT 0-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN1
20.02.2016 Barnsley Barnsley 1-0 HT 0-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN1
03.10.2015 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 2-1 HT 1-0 Barnsley Barnsley İN1
17.01.2015 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Barnsley Barnsley İN1

Barnsley 1-3 Doncaster Rovers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barnsley
1-3
AWAY Doncaster Rovers
0.69 xG 1.84
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 23
3 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 13
270 Passes 386
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 57
14 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Barnsley vs Doncaster Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Doncaster Rovers got the better of Barnsley 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Doncaster Rovers as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Barnsley had 43% of the ball to Doncaster Rovers's 57%, shots finished 11-23, expected goals 0.69 to 1.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Barnsley and 1.00 for Doncaster Rovers.

What was the final score of Barnsley vs Doncaster Rovers?

Barnsley 1-3 Doncaster Rovers in the England - Futbol League Cup on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barnsley vs Doncaster Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Doncaster Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Barnsley 32%, draw 26%, Doncaster Rovers 42%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Doncaster Rovers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Doncaster Rovers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNTK More England - Futbol League Cup
29 Oct 2024
22:00 Grimsby Town vs Manchester City U21 Analysis →
22:00 Mansfield Town vs Newcastle United U21 Analysis →
22:00 Charlton Athletic vs Chelsea U21 Analysis →
22:00 Bristol Rovers vs Exeter City Analysis →
22:00 Cheltenham Town vs West Ham United U21 Analysis →
22:45 Accrington Stanley vs Everton U21 Analysis →