Charlton Athletic 3-0 Chelsea U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Futbol League Cup, 29 Oct 2024

📅29/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
30%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
2.51
Over Pick
59%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.43
No
43%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1
20%
5.35
2-3
39%
1.99
4-5
26%
2.68
6+
15%
6.63
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
41%
+2.5pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.9pp
30%
Away Win
36%
-5.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
36%
+4.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
64%
-4.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
66%
-8.7pp
43%
BTTS No
34%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlton Athletic EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelsea U21 EU Bookmakers 40%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.47/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/0.76
+79% / +100% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -24%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
304 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 79%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.5
16.0 Crosses 14.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charlton Athletic
3-0
AWAY Chelsea U21
1.43 xG 1.36
40% Ball Possession 60%
17 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 6
200 Passes 389
69% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Box Touches 27
21 Crosses 13
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Charlton Athletic vs Chelsea U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlton Athletic cruised past Chelsea U21 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Charlton Athletic as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, Charlton Athletic had 40% of the ball to Chelsea U21's 60%, shots finished 17-15, expected goals 1.43 to 1.36.

What was the final score of Charlton Athletic vs Chelsea U21?

Charlton Athletic 3-0 Chelsea U21 in the England - Futbol League Cup on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlton Athletic vs Chelsea U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charlton Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Charlton Athletic 44%, draw 26%, Chelsea U21 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charlton Athletic), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Charlton Athletic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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