Mansfield Town 3-0 Newcastle United U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Futbol League Cup, 29 Oct 2024

📅29/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.53
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.51
Over Pick
56%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.56
No
50%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1
21%
5.52
2-3
39%
2.01
4-5
25%
2.65
6+
15%
6.37
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
61%
-5.8pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.4pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+3.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.1pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mansfield Town EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Newcastle United U21 EU Bookmakers 22%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
3.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/2.71
+44% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -30%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
372 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.4
Crosses 8.2
Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mansfield Town
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Newcastle United U21
6.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
4.77 xG 1.41
51% Ball Possession 49%
27 Total Shots 7
11 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
326 Passes 314
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
49 Box Touches 11
24 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
09.11.2021 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 6-3 HT 2-2 Newcastle United U21 Newcastle United U21 İNTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mansfield Town
3-0
AWAY Newcastle United U21
1.02 xG 2.13
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 6
477 Passes 396
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mansfield Town vs Newcastle United U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mansfield Town ran out comfortable winners over Newcastle United U21 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mansfield Town as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Mansfield Town had 54% of the ball to Newcastle United U21's 46%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 1.02 to 2.13 — the balance of chances actually favoured Newcastle United U21.

What was the final score of Mansfield Town vs Newcastle United U21?

Mansfield Town 3-0 Newcastle United U21 in the England - Futbol League Cup on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mansfield Town vs Newcastle United U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mansfield Town win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Mansfield Town 55%, draw 23%, Newcastle United U21 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mansfield Town), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mansfield Town) ✓ Over 2.5
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