Lumezzane 0-2 Pergolettese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 29 Oct 2024

📅29/10/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
33%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.8
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.17
6+ Goals
9%
20.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
47%
-8.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+8.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.2pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lumezzane EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Pergolettese EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -9%
1.35/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.46
+5% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lumezzane
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Pergolettese
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.01.2024 Pergolettese Pergolettese 0-1 HT 0-0 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
10.09.2023 Lumezzane Lumezzane 1-0 HT 0-0 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lumezzane
0-2
AWAY Pergolettese
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lumezzane vs Pergolettese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pergolettese got the better of Lumezzane 2-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Pergolettese made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Lumezzane had 62% of the ball to Pergolettese's 38%, shots finished 14-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Lumezzane had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lumezzane and 0.00 for Pergolettese.

What was the final score of Lumezzane vs Pergolettese?

Lumezzane 0-2 Pergolettese in the Italy - Serie C on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lumezzane vs Pergolettese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lumezzane win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lumezzane 38%, draw 28%, Pergolettese 33%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lumezzane) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lumezzane) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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