Sparta Nijkerk 5-1 Capelle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - KNVB Cup, 29 Oct 2024

📅29/10/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.43
Draw
17%
4.34
Away
29%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.61
Over 2.5
62%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
66%
-11.7pp
17%
Draw
20%
-2.5pp
29%
Away Win
15%
+14.1pp
38%
Under 2.5
35%
+3.5pp
62%
Over 2.5
65%
-3.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.2pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Nijkerk EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Capelle EU Bookmakers 18%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+79% / -61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
422 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Sparta Nijkerk vs Capelle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Nijkerk cruised past Capelle 5-1. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sparta Nijkerk as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Sparta Nijkerk vs Capelle?

Sparta Nijkerk 5-1 Capelle in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Nijkerk vs Capelle?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Nijkerk win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Sparta Nijkerk 54%, draw 17%, Capelle 29%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sparta Nijkerk), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sparta Nijkerk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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