Illertissen 0-3 Magdeburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - DFB Cup, 29 Oct 2025

Illertissen
0-3 HT 0-2
Magdeburg
📅29/10/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - DFB Cup – 2025/2026

Illertissen vs Magdeburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
5.34
Draw
19%
4.49
Away
67%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.51
Over 2.5
60%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.52
2-3 Goals
36%
2.05
4-5 Goals
28%
2.7
6+ Goals
13%
6.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
10.25
1/2
5%
19.2
1/X
3%
18.6
X/1
5%
13.6
X/2 EV+ ✗
25%
4.13
X/X
10%
7.45
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
36%
1.71
2/X
6%
16.5
Value flag · X/2 at 4.13 — our 25% vs market 19.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
15%
-1.1pp
19%
Draw
19%
+0.4pp
66%
Away Win
66%
+0.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
36%
+3.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
64%
-3.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.8pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Illertissen v Magdeburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Illertissen EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Magdeburg EU Bookmakers 70%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
290 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 446 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Illertissen 0-3 Magdeburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Illertissen
0-3
AWAY Magdeburg
0.40 xG 2.81
26% Ball Possession 74%
7 Total Shots 22
1 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 6
116 Passes 607
55% Pass Accuracy 87%
7 Box Touches 44
6 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Illertissen vs Magdeburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Magdeburg swept aside Illertissen 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Magdeburg as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Illertissen had 26% of the ball to Magdeburg's 74%, shots finished 7-22, expected goals 0.40 to 2.81.

What was the final score of Illertissen vs Magdeburg?

Illertissen 0-3 Magdeburg in the Germany - DFB Cup on 29/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Illertissen vs Magdeburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Magdeburg win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Illertissen 14%, draw 19%, Magdeburg 66%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Magdeburg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Magdeburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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