Greuther Fürth 0-1 Kaiserslautern — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - DFB Cup, 29 Oct 2025

📅29/10/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
48%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.38
Over 2.5
54%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.17
2-3 Goals
41%
2.01
4-5 Goals
24%
2.78
6+ Goals
12%
7.11
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.2
1/2 EV+ ✗
13%
22.25
1/X
7%
12.45
X/1
9%
6.88
X/2
16%
5.56
X/X
8%
5.7
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
20%
3.01
2/X
9%
12.1
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.25 — our 13% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
33%
-6.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.1pp
48%
Away Win
42%
+6.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.5pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greuther Fürth EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Kaiserslautern EU Bookmakers 46%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.00/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.05
-31% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
367 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
Crosses 13.0
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greuther Fürth
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Kaiserslautern
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.28 xG 1.91
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
357 Passes 377
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 4
14.09.2025 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 0-3 HT 0-1 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL2
24.01.2025 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 2-4 HT 1-1 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL2
09.08.2024 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 2-2 HT 1-2 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
12.04.2024 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 2-1 HT 0-1 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL2
04.11.2023 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 0-2 HT 0-1 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
25.02.2023 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 3-1 HT 1-0 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Greuther Fürth
0-1
AWAY Kaiserslautern
0.96 xG 1.25
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 8
316 Passes 247
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
24 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Greuther Fürth vs Kaiserslautern
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kaiserslautern nicked a narrow win over Greuther Fürth 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kaiserslautern as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Greuther Fürth had 52% of the ball to Kaiserslautern's 48%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.96 to 1.25.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kaiserslautern led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Greuther Fürth and 2.17 for Kaiserslautern.

What was the final score of Greuther Fürth vs Kaiserslautern?

Greuther Fürth 0-1 Kaiserslautern in the Germany - DFB Cup on 29/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greuther Fürth vs Kaiserslautern?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kaiserslautern win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Greuther Fürth 27%, draw 25%, Kaiserslautern 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kaiserslautern) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kaiserslautern) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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