Union Berlin vs Arminia Bielefeld Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Union Berlin v Arminia Bielefeld — Team-Based Signals
Union Berlin vs Arminia Bielefeld Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Union Berlin
AL1
1-0
HT 0-0
Arminia Bielefeld
AL1
0-0
HT 0-0
Union Berlin
AL1
5-0
HT 3-0
Arminia Bielefeld
AL1
Union Berlin 2-1 Arminia Bielefeld — Actual Match Statistics
Union Berlin nicked a narrow win over Arminia Bielefeld 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Union Berlin as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Union Berlin had 54% of the ball to Arminia Bielefeld's 46%, shots finished 29-20, expected goals 2.15 to 2.50.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Berlin had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Union Berlin and 0.50 for Arminia Bielefeld.
What was the final score of Union Berlin vs Arminia Bielefeld?
Union Berlin 2-1 Arminia Bielefeld in the Germany - DFB Cup on 29/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Union Berlin vs Arminia Bielefeld?
Before kick-off our model rated a Union Berlin win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Union Berlin 45%, draw 24%, Arminia Bielefeld 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Berlin), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.