Mainz 05 0-2 Stuttgart — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - DFB Cup, 29 Oct 2025

📅29/10/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.57
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
49%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.15
Over 2.5
58%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.53
No
40%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.36
2-3 Goals
39%
1.91
4-5 Goals
27%
3.03
6+ Goals
13%
9.12
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.95
1/2
7%
24.45
1/X
6%
12.45
X/1
10%
6.34
X/2 EV+ ✗
22%
5.69
X/X
11%
5.24
2/1
6%
26.5
2/2
21%
3.34
2/X
5%
12.25
Value flag · X/2 at 5.69 — our 22% vs market 13.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
35%
-7.4pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.0pp
49%
Away Win
39%
+10.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
43%
-0.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
57%
+0.8pp
60%
BTTS Yes
61%
-1.1pp
40%
BTTS No
39%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mainz 05 EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Stuttgart EU Bookmakers 43%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
1.65/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/0.21
+59% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +28%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
325 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 81%
29.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.0
22.2 Crosses 37.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mainz 05
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Stuttgart
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.57 xG 2.03
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
273 Passes 450
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2025 Stuttgart Stuttgart 2-1 HT 1-1 Mainz 05 Mainz 05 AL1
25.01.2025 Mainz 05 Mainz 05 2-0 HT 1-0 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
31.08.2024 Stuttgart Stuttgart 3-3 HT 2-1 Mainz 05 Mainz 05 AL1
11.02.2024 Stuttgart Stuttgart 3-1 HT 2-0 Mainz 05 Mainz 05 AL1
16.09.2023 Mainz 05 Mainz 05 1-3 HT 0-0 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
21.05.2023 Mainz 05 Mainz 05 1-4 HT 1-1 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mainz 05
0-2
AWAY Stuttgart
0.65 xG 2.06
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
321 Passes 287
75% Pass Accuracy 73%
28 Box Touches 31
19 Crosses 13
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mainz 05 vs Stuttgart
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stuttgart saw off Mainz 05 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Stuttgart as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mainz 05 had 52% of the ball to Stuttgart's 48%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 0.65 to 2.06.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stuttgart led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Mainz 05 and 2.50 for Stuttgart.

What was the final score of Mainz 05 vs Stuttgart?

Mainz 05 0-2 Stuttgart in the Germany - DFB Cup on 29/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mainz 05 vs Stuttgart?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stuttgart win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Mainz 05 28%, draw 23%, Stuttgart 49%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stuttgart) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stuttgart) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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