Arminia Bielefeld vs Union Berlin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Arminia Bielefeld v Union Berlin — Team-Based Signals
Arminia Bielefeld vs Union Berlin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Union Berlin
AL1
1-0
HT 0-0
Arminia Bielefeld
AL1
0-0
HT 0-0
Union Berlin
AL1
5-0
HT 3-0
Arminia Bielefeld
AL1
1-1
HT 1-0
Arminia Bielefeld
AL2
Arminia Bielefeld 2-0 Union Berlin — Actual Match Statistics
Arminia Bielefeld got the better of Union Berlin 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Union Berlin at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.
On the day, Arminia Bielefeld had 29% of the ball to Union Berlin's 71%, shots finished 11-21, expected goals 1.36 to 1.98 — the balance of chances actually favoured Union Berlin.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Berlin led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Arminia Bielefeld and 1.50 for Union Berlin.
What was the final score of Arminia Bielefeld vs Union Berlin?
Arminia Bielefeld 2-0 Union Berlin in the Germany - DFB Cup on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Arminia Bielefeld vs Union Berlin?
Before kick-off our model rated an Union Berlin win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Arminia Bielefeld 29%, draw 21%, Union Berlin 50%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Union Berlin), Over 2.5 went the other way.