Aurora 4-0 Guabira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - Profesyonel League Cup, 29 Oct 2025

📅29/10/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
Over 2.5
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-8.0pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.5pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
-9.6pp
47%
BTTS No
37%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aurora EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Guabira EU Bookmakers 28%
-56% / -56% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
0.81/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.60
-47% / -77% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
304 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 77%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
12.0 Crosses 14.9
3.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aurora
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Guabira
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.56 xG 1.16
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
253 Passes 218
74% Pass Accuracy 71%
28 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 4
12.10.2025 Guabira Guabira 2-1 HT 1-1 Aurora Aurora BOLPLK
11.08.2025 Aurora Aurora 0-2 HT 0-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
05.04.2025 Guabira Guabira 5-2 HT 2-1 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
30.09.2024 Aurora Aurora 2-1 HT 1-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
19.05.2024 Guabira Guabira 1-1 HT 0-1 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
10.10.2023 Aurora Aurora 1-0 HT 0-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aurora
4-0
AWAY Guabira
3.11 xG 0.29
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
437 Passes 269
90% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 5
13 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Aurora vs Guabira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aurora swept aside Guabira 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Aurora as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Aurora had 59% of the ball to Guabira's 41%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 3.11 to 0.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guabira led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Aurora and 1.83 for Guabira.

What was the final score of Aurora vs Guabira?

Aurora 4-0 Guabira in the Bolivia - Profesyonel League Cup on 29/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aurora vs Guabira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aurora win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Aurora 45%, draw 27%, Guabira 29%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aurora) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aurora) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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