FC Flora Tallinn 3-1 FC Levadia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Cup, 29 Oct 2025

📅29/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.99
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
45%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
No
40%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
12%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+4.7pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.8pp
45%
Away Win
47%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Levadia EU Bookmakers 51%
-46% / -46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/3.00
-100% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +89% / -59%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 436 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
3W-1D-2L
AWAY FC Levadia
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.09.2025 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 2-3 HT 2-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
17.09.2025 FC Levadia FC Levadia 1-3 HT 1-2 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
18.05.2025 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
12.04.2025 FC Levadia FC Levadia 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
03.11.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 4-2 HT 1-1 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
30.08.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 2-1 HT 1-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
3-1
AWAY FC Levadia
44% Ball Possession 56%
17 Total Shots 18
9 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Flora Tallinn vs FC Levadia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Flora Tallinn got the better of FC Levadia 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was FC Levadia at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, FC Flora Tallinn had 44% of the ball to FC Levadia's 56%, shots finished 17-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Flora Tallinn had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for FC Flora Tallinn and 1.50 for FC Levadia.

What was the final score of FC Flora Tallinn vs FC Levadia?

FC Flora Tallinn 3-1 FC Levadia in the Estonia - Cup on 29/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Flora Tallinn vs FC Levadia?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Levadia win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split FC Flora Tallinn 35%, draw 21%, FC Levadia 45%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Levadia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Levadia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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