Wrexham 1-1 Blackburn Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.86
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.93
6+ Goals
10%
18.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 31% vs market 28.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.33
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
14%
5.11
X/2
16%
6.38
X/X
13%
4.35
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
12%
4.69
2/X
7%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.9pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.8pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.1pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wrexham EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Blackburn Rovers EU Bookmakers 34%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
1.43/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.22
-8% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
329 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 76%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
24.6 Crosses 14.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wrexham
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Blackburn Rovers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
0.37 xG 2.10
32% Ball Possession 68%
9 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 2
256 Passes 674
75% Pass Accuracy 90%
9 Box Touches 38
11 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
29.01.2024 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 4-1 HT 3-1 Wrexham Wrexham FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wrexham
1-1
AWAY Blackburn Rovers
1.65 xG 0.94
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 7
446 Passes 194
80% Pass Accuracy 63%
29 Box Touches 26
29 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Wrexham vs Blackburn Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wrexham and Blackburn Rovers couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Wrexham had 64% of the ball to Blackburn Rovers's 36%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.65 to 0.94.

What was the final score of Wrexham vs Blackburn Rovers?

Wrexham 1-1 Blackburn Rovers in the England - Championship on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wrexham vs Blackburn Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wrexham win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Wrexham 39%, draw 27%, Blackburn Rovers 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Wrexham), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wrexham) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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