Catanzaro 3-2 Virtus Entella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.64
Over 2.5
50%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.61
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
4.34
6+ Goals
12%
22.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.27
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
13%
5.03
X/2
8%
6.74
X/X
12%
3.98
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
30.0
2/2
12%
5.16
2/X
8%
13.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 30.0 — our 10% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
42%
+5.4pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.4pp
26%
Away Win
28%
-2.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
57%
-7.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
43%
+7.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.6pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Catanzaro EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Virtus Entella EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -24%
1.32/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.53
+25% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / -28%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 73%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
19.7 Crosses 25.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Catanzaro
3-2
AWAY Virtus Entella
2.33 xG 1.64
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
307 Passes 351
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
26 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Catanzaro vs Virtus Entella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Catanzaro squeezed past Virtus Entella 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Catanzaro as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Catanzaro had 47% of the ball to Virtus Entella's 53%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 2.33 to 1.64.

What was the final score of Catanzaro vs Virtus Entella?

Catanzaro 3-2 Virtus Entella in the Italy - Serie B on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Catanzaro vs Virtus Entella?

Before kick-off our model rated a Catanzaro win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Catanzaro 47%, draw 26%, Virtus Entella 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Catanzaro), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Catanzaro) ✓ BTTS Yes
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