Palermo 5-0 Carrarese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.91
Over 2.5
54%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.41
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.38
6+ Goals
10%
12.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.19
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
17%
4.43
X/2
9%
10.25
X/X
11%
4.94
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
24.45
2/2
7%
8.16
2/X
6%
15.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.45 — our 10% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
54%
+1.1pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.3pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+2.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.6pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Palermo EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Carrarese EU Bookmakers 22%
-9% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -9%
1.59/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.60
-23% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
310 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 76%
28.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
25.8 Crosses 20.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Palermo
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Carrarese
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.47 xG 1.30
55% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 4
361 Passes 290
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
32 Box Touches 16
32 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.05.2025 Palermo Palermo 1-1 HT 0-1 Carrarese Carrarese İTB
07.12.2024 Carrarese Carrarese 1-0 HT 0-0 Palermo Palermo İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Palermo
5-0
AWAY Carrarese
3.82 xG 0.49
54% Ball Possession 46%
21 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
399 Passes 321
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 10
14 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Palermo vs Carrarese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palermo ran out comfortable winners over Carrarese 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Palermo as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Palermo had 54% of the ball to Carrarese's 46%, shots finished 21-7, expected goals 3.82 to 0.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Carrarese led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Palermo and 1.00 for Carrarese.

What was the final score of Palermo vs Carrarese?

Palermo 5-0 Carrarese in the Italy - Serie B on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Palermo vs Carrarese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Palermo win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Palermo 56%, draw 23%, Carrarese 22%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palermo), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Palermo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTB More Italy - Serie B
29 Nov 2025
17:00 Reggiana vs Frosinone Analysis →
17:00 Pescara vs Padova Calcio Analysis →
17:00 Venezia vs Mantova Analysis →
17:00 Empoli vs FC Bari 1908 Analysis →
17:30 Südtirol vs Avellino Analysis →
19:15 Catanzaro vs Virtus Entella Analysis →