Empoli 5-0 FC Bari 1908 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.56
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
4.44
6+ Goals
9%
23.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.94
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.25
X/1
15%
4.74
X/2
10%
7.47
X/X
12%
3.96
2/1
7%
29.5
2/2
13%
5.99
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
14.25
Value flag · 2/X at 14.25 — our 10% vs market 4.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-3.1pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.2pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.3pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Empoli EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Bari 1908 EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
1.80/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.33
+27% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +10%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
285 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 79%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
19.6 Crosses 17.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Empoli
3W-1D-2L
AWAY FC Bari 1908
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
27.01.2018 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 0-4 HT 0-2 Empoli Empoli İTB
03.09.2017 Empoli Empoli 3-2 HT 2-1 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
06.04.2014 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 3-0 HT 1-0 Empoli Empoli İTB
01.11.2013 Empoli Empoli 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
24.03.2013 Empoli Empoli 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
30.10.2012 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 2-3 HT 2-0 Empoli Empoli İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Empoli
5-0
AWAY FC Bari 1908
1.85 xG 0.39
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 5
377 Passes 349
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Empoli vs FC Bari 1908
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Empoli ran out comfortable winners over FC Bari 1908 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Empoli as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Empoli had 51% of the ball to FC Bari 1908's 49%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 1.85 to 0.39.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Empoli had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Empoli and 1.50 for FC Bari 1908.

What was the final score of Empoli vs FC Bari 1908?

Empoli 5-0 FC Bari 1908 in the Italy - Serie B on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Empoli vs FC Bari 1908?

Before kick-off our model rated a Empoli win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Empoli 42%, draw 29%, FC Bari 1908 29%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Empoli) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Empoli) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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