Südtirol 0-1 Avellino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.59
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
4.37
6+ Goals
9%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.89
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.75
X/1
15%
4.62
X/2
8%
7.41
X/X
14%
4.12
2/1
9%
29.0
2/2
13%
5.99
2/X
6%
14.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
-0.3pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.5pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.4pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Südtirol EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Avellino EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
1.53/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.10
+32% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -24%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
254 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 80%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.0
19.4 Crosses 15.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Südtirol
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Avellino
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
02.06.2021 Südtirol Südtirol 1-0 HT 0-0 Avellino Avellino İTC
30.05.2021 Avellino Avellino 2-0 HT 0-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Südtirol
0-1
AWAY Avellino
1.16 xG 0.75
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 2
341 Passes 217
75% Pass Accuracy 68%
46 Box Touches 9
52 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Südtirol vs Avellino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avellino edged past Südtirol 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Südtirol at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Südtirol had 61% of the ball to Avellino's 39%, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 1.16 to 0.75 — the balance of chances actually favoured Südtirol.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Südtirol and 1.00 for Avellino.

What was the final score of Südtirol vs Avellino?

Südtirol 0-1 Avellino in the Italy - Serie B on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Südtirol vs Avellino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Südtirol win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Südtirol 46%, draw 26%, Avellino 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Südtirol) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Südtirol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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