Reggiana 0-1 Frosinone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.94
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
46%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.82
Over 2.5
55%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.2
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.55
6+ Goals
13%
14.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.84
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
26.5
1/X
6%
13.2
X/1
11%
6.81
X/2
12%
5.17
X/X
10%
4.55
2/1
6%
33.5
2/2
25%
3.14
2/X
8%
12.7
Value flag · 1/2 at 26.5 — our 9% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
31%
-0.7pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.3pp
46%
Away Win
41%
+5.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
51%
-6.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
49%
+6.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+2.6pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Reggiana EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Frosinone EU Bookmakers 45%
+5% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +15%
1.11/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.33
+10% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
324 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.9
16.2 Crosses 17.6
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Reggiana
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Frosinone
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
1.06 xG 0.86
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
294 Passes 345
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.02.2025 Frosinone Frosinone 1-1 HT 0-1 Reggiana Reggiana İTB
20.10.2024 Reggiana Reggiana 2-0 HT 1-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
02.04.2021 Frosinone Frosinone 0-0 HT 0-0 Reggiana Reggiana İTB
15.12.2020 Reggiana Reggiana 1-2 HT 0-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Reggiana
0-1
AWAY Frosinone
1.03 xG 1.34
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
267 Passes 292
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Reggiana vs Frosinone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Frosinone edged past Reggiana 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Frosinone as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Reggiana had 48% of the ball to Frosinone's 52%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.03 to 1.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Reggiana and 0.75 for Frosinone.

What was the final score of Reggiana vs Frosinone?

Reggiana 0-1 Frosinone in the Italy - Serie B on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Reggiana vs Frosinone?

Before kick-off our model rated an Frosinone win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Reggiana 30%, draw 24%, Frosinone 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Frosinone) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Frosinone) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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