Pescara 0-1 Padova Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
43%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.68
Over 2.5
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.82
No
57%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.76
2-3 Goals
43%
1.76
4-5 Goals
17%
4.09
6+ Goals
8%
19.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.76 — our 32% vs market 29.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.8
1/2
6%
29.5
1/X
8%
13.15
X/1
9%
6.55
X/2
17%
5.27
X/X
11%
4.07
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
21%
3.4
2/X
7%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
31%
-0.1pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.6pp
43%
Away Win
40%
+3.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.1pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pescara EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Padova Calcio EU Bookmakers 43%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -8%
1.43/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.26
+27% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 76%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.3 Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pescara
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Padova Calcio
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.90 xG 1.48
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
450 Passes 316
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.02.2019 Pescara Pescara 2-0 HT 2-0 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTB
02.10.2018 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 2-2 HT 0-1 Pescara Pescara İTB
01.10.2018 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 2-2 HT 0-1 Pescara Pescara İTB
17.05.2014 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 2-1 HT 1-0 Pescara Pescara nan
20.12.2013 Pescara Pescara 1-0 HT 0-0 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio nan
20.04.2012 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 0-6 HT 0-1 Pescara Pescara İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pescara
0-1
AWAY Padova Calcio
1.61 xG 1.20
56% Ball Possession 44%
25 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
12 Corners 5
290 Passes 214
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
35 Box Touches 21
31 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Pescara vs Padova Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Padova Calcio edged past Pescara 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Padova Calcio as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Pescara had 56% of the ball to Padova Calcio's 44%, shots finished 25-12, expected goals 1.61 to 1.20 — the balance of chances actually favoured Pescara.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pescara had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Pescara and 1.00 for Padova Calcio.

What was the final score of Pescara vs Padova Calcio?

Pescara 0-1 Padova Calcio in the Italy - Serie B on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pescara vs Padova Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated an Padova Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Pescara 31%, draw 26%, Padova Calcio 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Padova Calcio), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Padova Calcio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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