Palermo 1-1 Carrarese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 13 May 2025

📅13/05/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.49
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.33
Over 2.5
55%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.69
2-3 Goals
43%
1.91
4-5 Goals
22%
2.69
6+ Goals
10%
7.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
63%
-8.3pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.0pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
39%
+6.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
61%
-6.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.4pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Palermo EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Carrarese EU Bookmakers 20%
-12% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -7%
1.69/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.75
-21% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
370 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 77%
30.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
26.9 Crosses 17.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Palermo
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Carrarese
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.24 xG 1.98
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 15
0 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 5
371 Passes 279
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 20
25 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
07.12.2024 Carrarese Carrarese 1-0 HT 0-0 Palermo Palermo İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Palermo
1-1
AWAY Carrarese
1.70 xG 0.63
54% Ball Possession 46%
26 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 3
351 Passes 300
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
44 Box Touches 13
40 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Palermo vs Carrarese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palermo and Carrarese shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Palermo at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Palermo had 54% of the ball to Carrarese's 46%, shots finished 26-10, expected goals 1.70 to 0.63.

What was the final score of Palermo vs Carrarese?

Palermo 1-1 Carrarese in the Italy - Serie B on 13/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Palermo vs Carrarese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Palermo win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Palermo 55%, draw 23%, Carrarese 23%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Palermo) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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