Sassuolo vs Frosinone Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sassuolo v Frosinone — Team-Based Signals
Sassuolo vs Frosinone Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-2
HT 1-2
Sassuolo
İTA
2-2
HT 0-2
Frosinone
İTA
0-2
HT 0-1
Sassuolo
İTA
0-1
HT 0-0
Sassuolo
İTA
Sassuolo 0-1 Frosinone — Actual Match Statistics
Frosinone edged past Sassuolo 1-0 away from home.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Frosinone as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Sassuolo had 61% of the ball to Frosinone's 39%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 0.78 to 2.22 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Frosinone's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sassuolo had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sassuolo and 1.17 for Frosinone.
What was the final score of Sassuolo vs Frosinone?
Sassuolo 0-1 Frosinone in the Italy - Serie B on 13/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sassuolo vs Frosinone?
Before kick-off our model rated an Frosinone win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sassuolo 34%, draw 24%, Frosinone 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Frosinone), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.