Cittadella 0-2 Salernitana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 13 May 2025

📅13/05/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.99
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.85
No
59%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.65
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
4.06
6+ Goals
7%
19.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.65 — our 33% vs market 30.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+6.2pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.0pp
38%
Away Win
40%
-2.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
50%
-8.6pp
59%
BTTS No
50%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cittadella EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Salernitana EU Bookmakers 45%
-8% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.02/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/0.67
-9% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
294 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 75%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
23.6 Crosses 14.9
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cittadella
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Salernitana
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.09 xG 1.32
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
277 Passes 254
74% Pass Accuracy 70%
22 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
17.08.2024 Salernitana Salernitana 2-1 HT 0-1 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
16.03.2021 Cittadella Cittadella 0-0 HT 0-0 Salernitana Salernitana İTB
05.12.2020 Salernitana Salernitana 1-0 HT 0-0 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
13.07.2020 Salernitana Salernitana 4-1 HT 2-1 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
07.12.2019 Cittadella Cittadella 4-3 HT 3-1 Salernitana Salernitana İTB
13.04.2019 Salernitana Salernitana 4-2 HT 1-2 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cittadella
0-2
AWAY Salernitana
0.93 xG 1.49
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
237 Passes 312
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 25
23 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cittadella vs Salernitana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salernitana got the better of Cittadella 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and on the day Salernitana made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Cittadella had 45% of the ball to Salernitana's 55%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 0.93 to 1.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Salernitana led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cittadella and 2.33 for Salernitana.

What was the final score of Cittadella vs Salernitana?

Cittadella 0-2 Salernitana in the Italy - Serie B on 13/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cittadella vs Salernitana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Salernitana win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cittadella 36%, draw 26%, Salernitana 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salernitana), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Salernitana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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