Pisa 2-1 Cremonese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 13 May 2025

📅13/05/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.28
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
3.34
6+ Goals
11%
12.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+1.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.1pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pisa EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Cremonese EU Bookmakers 34%
+3% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +10%
1.38/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.21
+17% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
333 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.3
21.5 Crosses 21.4
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pisa
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Cremonese
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.50 xG 1.28
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
268 Passes 319
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2024 Cremonese Cremonese 1-3 HT 1-2 Pisa Pisa İTB
01.05.2024 Cremonese Cremonese 2-1 HT 1-0 Pisa Pisa İTB
02.12.2023 Pisa Pisa 0-0 HT 0-0 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
13.03.2022 Pisa Pisa 3-0 HT 1-0 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
28.10.2021 Cremonese Cremonese 1-1 HT 0-1 Pisa Pisa İTB
06.02.2021 Cremonese Cremonese 2-1 HT 2-1 Pisa Pisa İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pisa
2-1
AWAY Cremonese
1.34 xG 0.86
28% Ball Possession 72%
15 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
168 Passes 541
75% Pass Accuracy 89%
17 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pisa vs Cremonese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pisa edged past Cremonese 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Pisa as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Pisa had 28% of the ball to Cremonese's 72%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.34 to 0.86.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Pisa and 1.00 for Cremonese.

What was the final score of Pisa vs Cremonese?

Pisa 2-1 Cremonese in the Italy - Serie B on 13/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pisa vs Cremonese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pisa win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Pisa 41%, draw 26%, Cremonese 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pisa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pisa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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