Brescia 2-1 Reggiana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 13 May 2025

📅13/05/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.47
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
29%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.25
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
3.37
6+ Goals
10%
12.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
64%
-17.5pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.6pp
29%
Away Win
15%
+14.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.7pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brescia EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Reggiana EU Bookmakers 18%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +18%
1.64/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.36
+11% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
24.6 Crosses 14.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brescia
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Reggiana
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
0.84 xG 1.29
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
348 Passes 355
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.08.2024 Reggiana Reggiana 2-0 HT 1-0 Brescia Brescia İTB
24.02.2024 Brescia Brescia 0-0 HT 0-0 Reggiana Reggiana İTB
10.12.2023 Reggiana Reggiana 1-1 HT 0-0 Brescia Brescia İTB
05.04.2021 Reggiana Reggiana 2-2 HT 0-1 Brescia Brescia İTB
19.12.2020 Brescia Brescia 3-1 HT 2-1 Reggiana Reggiana İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brescia
2-1
AWAY Reggiana
1.66 xG 1.43
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 3
350 Passes 322
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 17
30 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Brescia vs Reggiana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brescia edged past Reggiana 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Brescia as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Brescia had 52% of the ball to Reggiana's 48%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 1.66 to 1.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Brescia and 1.20 for Reggiana.

What was the final score of Brescia vs Reggiana?

Brescia 2-1 Reggiana in the Italy - Serie B on 13/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brescia vs Reggiana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brescia win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Brescia 46%, draw 25%, Reggiana 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brescia), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Brescia) ✓ Over 2.5
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