CSKA 1948 Sofia 2-1 PFC Beroe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.29
Draw
17%
4.95
Away
14%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.15
Over 2.5
62%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.19
No
47%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
73%
-3.7pp
17%
Draw
17%
-0.5pp
14%
Away Win
10%
+4.2pp
38%
Under 2.5
43%
-5.0pp
62%
Over 2.5
57%
+5.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
42%
+11.8pp
47%
BTTS No
58%
-11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY PFC Beroe EU Bookmakers 12%
-13% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +12%
1.60/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.72
-22% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +11%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
465 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia
1W-3D-2L
AWAY PFC Beroe
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.07.2025 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 1-1 HT 1-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
11.04.2025 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 2-0 HT 1-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
03.11.2024 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-1 HT 1-1 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
31.03.2024 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 0-1 HT 0-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
07.12.2023 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 2-1 HT 0-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BULK
26.09.2023 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 0-0 HT 0-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia
2-1
AWAY PFC Beroe
62% Ball Possession 38%
9 Total Shots 2
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH CSKA 1948 Sofia vs PFC Beroe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA 1948 Sofia squeezed past PFC Beroe 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CSKA 1948 Sofia as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, CSKA 1948 Sofia had 62% of the ball to PFC Beroe's 38%, shots finished 9-2.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PFC Beroe led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for CSKA 1948 Sofia and 1.00 for PFC Beroe.

What was the final score of CSKA 1948 Sofia vs PFC Beroe?

CSKA 1948 Sofia 2-1 PFC Beroe in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA 1948 Sofia vs PFC Beroe?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA 1948 Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split CSKA 1948 Sofia 70%, draw 17%, PFC Beroe 14%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA 1948 Sofia), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CSKA 1948 Sofia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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