Spartak Varna 0-4 CSKA Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
6.35
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
60%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
34%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
13%
+6.4pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.2pp
60%
Away Win
67%
-7.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.1pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Varna EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA Sofia EU Bookmakers 71%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -27%
1.49/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/0.79
+113% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -18%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
240 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Varna
1W-1D-4L
AWAY CSKA Sofia
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.07.2025 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 1-1 HT 1-0 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna BUL1
13.05.2025 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 5-0 HT 1-0 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna BUL1
26.04.2025 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna 0-1 HT 0-1 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
15.12.2024 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna 2-3 HT 2-2 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BULK
03.12.2024 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 3-1 HT 1-0 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna BUL1
03.08.2024 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna 3-0 HT 2-0 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Varna
0-4
AWAY CSKA Sofia
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 23
1 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Spartak Varna vs CSKA Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Sofia ran out comfortable winners over Spartak Varna 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had CSKA Sofia as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Spartak Varna had 37% of the ball to CSKA Sofia's 63%, shots finished 9-23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSKA Sofia led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Spartak Varna and 2.17 for CSKA Sofia.

What was the final score of Spartak Varna vs CSKA Sofia?

Spartak Varna 0-4 CSKA Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Varna vs CSKA Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated an CSKA Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Spartak Varna 19%, draw 21%, CSKA Sofia 60%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Sofia), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CSKA Sofia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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29 Nov 2025
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