Katowice 2-0 Pogon Szczecin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
37%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.12
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
2.88
6+ Goals
11%
8.57
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.25
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
23.55
1/X
10%
12.95
X/1
12%
6.64
X/2
11%
5.47
X/X
6%
5.38
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
18%
3.15
2/X
8%
12.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.55 — our 8% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+4.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-3.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.4pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Katowice EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Pogon Szczecin EU Bookmakers 45%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -35%
1.40/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.29
+15% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
271 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 81%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.1
23.2 Crosses 21.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Katowice
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Pogon Szczecin
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
1.18 xG 2.15
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
263 Passes 335
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 31
26 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
25.06.2025 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 1-0 HT 1-0 Katowice Katowice HAZ
06.04.2025 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 4-0 HT 1-0 Katowice Katowice POL
27.09.2024 Katowice Katowice 3-1 HT 1-0 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POL
26.09.2018 Katowice Katowice 1-1 HT 1-0 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Katowice
2-0
AWAY Pogon Szczecin
1.42 xG 1.45
23% Ball Possession 77%
9 Total Shots 27
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
129 Passes 573
63% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 50
8 Crosses 30
POST-MATCH Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Katowice got the better of Pogon Szczecin 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 24% / 37% — and on the day Katowice made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Katowice had 23% of the ball to Pogon Szczecin's 77%, shots finished 9-27, expected goals 1.42 to 1.45.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Pogon Szczecin led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Katowice and 1.75 for Pogon Szczecin.

What was the final score of Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin?

Katowice 2-0 Pogon Szczecin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Katowice win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Katowice 39%, draw 24%, Pogon Szczecin 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Katowice) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Katowice) ✗ BTTS Yes
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