Korona Kielce 0-1 Cracovia Krakow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.59
Over 2.5
46%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-0.9pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.8pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.2pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Korona Kielce EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Cracovia Krakow EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +11%
1.69/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/0.98
-3% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +27%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
292 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
23.8 Crosses 18.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Korona Kielce
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Cracovia Krakow
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.99 xG 1.34
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
246 Passes 302
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 24
21 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.02.2025 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 1-1 HT 0-1 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
10.08.2024 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 0-2 HT 0-1 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
09.03.2024 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 1-1 HT 0-1 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
02.09.2023 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 0-0 HT 0-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
06.02.2023 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 2-1 HT 1-0 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
23.07.2022 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 2-0 HT 1-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Korona Kielce
0-1
AWAY Cracovia Krakow
1.77 xG 1.06
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
312 Passes 277
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
36 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Korona Kielce vs Cracovia Krakow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cracovia Krakow nicked a narrow win over Korona Kielce 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Cracovia Krakow made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Korona Kielce had 53% of the ball to Cracovia Krakow's 47%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.77 to 1.06 — the balance of chances actually favoured Korona Kielce.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cracovia Krakow led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Korona Kielce and 1.17 for Cracovia Krakow.

What was the final score of Korona Kielce vs Cracovia Krakow?

Korona Kielce 0-1 Cracovia Krakow in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Korona Kielce vs Cracovia Krakow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Korona Kielce win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Korona Kielce 40%, draw 26%, Cracovia Krakow 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Korona Kielce) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Korona Kielce) ✓ Under 2.5
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