Birmingham 1-1 Southampton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 29 Dec 2025

Birmingham
1 - 1 HT 0 - 0
Southampton
📅29/12/2025 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
England - Championship – 2025/2026

Birmingham vs Southampton Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.03
Over
56%
1.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
59%
1.57
No
41%
2.24
Total Goals
0-1
22%
3.8
2-3
47%
1.83
4-5
25%
3.12
6+
6%
10.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.28
1/2
2%
29.0
1/X
5%
12.65
X/1
15%
5.49
X/2
12%
6.46
X/X
16%
5.08
2/1
3%
24.85
2/2
18%
4.22
2/X
5%
12.95
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Birmingham v Southampton — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Birmingham The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Southampton The Market 37%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.50 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.67
1.17 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.00
Weak Attack Strength Great
Average Defense Strength Weak
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
281 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 77%
22 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2

Birmingham vs Southampton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birmingham
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Southampton
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.14 xG 2.25
37% Ball Possession 63%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
244 Passes 543
78% Pass Accuracy 87%
22 Box Touches 39
25 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
06.12.2025 Southampton Southampton 3-1 HT 2-0 Birmingham Birmingham İNCL
02.03.2024 Birmingham Birmingham 3-4 HT 2-1 Southampton Southampton İNCL
28.10.2023 Southampton Southampton 3-1 HT 2-0 Birmingham Birmingham İNCL
04.02.2012 Birmingham Birmingham 0-0 HT 0-0 Southampton Southampton İNCL
18.09.2011 Southampton Southampton 4-1 HT 3-0 Birmingham Birmingham İNCL
25.08.2009 Southampton Southampton 1-2 HT 0-0 Birmingham Birmingham İNLK

Birmingham 1-1 Southampton — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Birmingham
1 - 1
AWAY Southampton
1.70 xG 1.36
38% Ball Possession 62%
20 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
275 Passes 495
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
28 Box Touches 15
12 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Birmingham vs Southampton
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Birmingham and Southampton shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We leaned Birmingham at 42% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

Under the surface, Southampton saw more of the ball, 62% to 38%, shots finished 20-13, expected goals 1.70 to 1.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Southampton led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Birmingham against 2.50 for Southampton.

Birmingham vs Southampton Result & Final Score

Birmingham 1 - 1 Southampton in the England - Championship on 29/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Birmingham vs Southampton Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Birmingham win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Birmingham 42%, draw 27%, Southampton 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Birmingham), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Birmingham) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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