Almere City vs Roda Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Almere City v Roda — Team-Based Signals
Almere City vs Roda Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Almere City
HOL2
2-1
HT 1-1
Roda
HOL2
0-4
HT 0-3
Roda
HOL2
3-4
HT 1-2
Almere City
HOL2
2-1
HT 2-1
Roda
HOL2
Almere City 1-2 Roda — Actual Match Statistics
Roda nicked a narrow win over Almere City 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Almere City at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (57%) came in.
On the day, Almere City had 49% of the ball to Roda's 51%, shots finished 23-24, expected goals 1.65 to 2.63.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Almere City had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Almere City and 1.83 for Roda.
What was the final score of Almere City vs Roda?
Almere City 1-2 Roda in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 30/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Almere City vs Roda?
Before kick-off our model rated a Almere City win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Almere City 52%, draw 21%, Roda 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Almere City) went the other way.